According to American political analyst and researcher Phil Butler, the
US-backed
Saudi Arabian war against Yemen is neither about the longstanding
sectarian strife between Sunnis and Shiites, nor about the
much-discussed military campaign aimed against al-Qaeda in the region.
While Western media outlets usually refer to Yemen as a "small"
energy producer, the truth of the matter is the country is sitting
on substantial oil and gas reserves, which Saudi Arabia and its allies
want to control, Butler notes.
In addition,
Yemen
lies at the Bab el-Mandab, a key checkpoint for maritime transit
of oil, with 3.4 million barrels of oil passing through it each day.
In one of his
previous analytical reports for New Eastern Outlook, Phil Butler called attention to the fact that
Saudi Arabia's oil wealth is doomed to falter:
"Given the nature of the country's [Saudi
Arabia's] oil reserves, and almost unlimited production for decades,
it's possible the Saudis could simply be running out of gas," the
American analyst stressed.
In this context, it is hardly surprising that Riyadh has recently
adopted an assertive and even aggressive foreign policy approach
towards its neighbors.
"Running out of the last of the nation's only saleable resource, the
Saudi royalty have put their country into a mess, the potential
for revolution there being acute, should the people discover the real
predicament. This is why we see an 'all in' Saudi aggressive stance,
on Syria, with Iran, and especially where Yemen is concerned. While
Washington think tank evangelists try and play the tensions off as
Sunni-Shiite religious friction, new oil reserves are the truth of these
matters," Butler writes.
©
AFP 2016/ Fayez Nureldine
Saudi
soldiers are seen on top of their tank deployed at the Saudi-Yemeni
border, in Saudi Arabia's southwestern Jizan province, on April 13,
2015.
To
illustrate his point, the analyst refers to the 2013 Offshore-mag.com
report entitled 'Saudi Arabia dramatically increases rig count,
accelerates offshore development.'
"Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi, said that the kingdom would not
increase production capacity beyond 12.5 MMb/d for the next 30 years
in contrast to earlier calls to increase output to 15 MMb/d to meet
global demand. Simultaneously, however, Saudi Arabia has massively
increased the total number of drilling rigs in recent months; this year,
the total number of rigs is set to hit a record of 170, nearly double
the 88 rigs in October 2012," the report
stated adding that Riyadh was also exploring and developing "more costly offshore fields."
If Riyadh was not planning to increase its production capacity, why
did it rush to install new rigs, especially offshore ones, which are 7
times more costly to run, Butler asks. The analyst believes that Saudi
Arabia has been lying for decades about its actual oil capacity.
To stay on top, Riyadh has to maintain control
over oil reserves beyond its borders, particularly in Yemen. The Western
establishment is assisting Saudi Arabia, and with "reason": in November
2005 the Republic of Yemen
expropriated its oil basins — the Marib Al-Jawf Block — from Hunt Oil Company and ExxonMobil affiliates.
"And big oil hates countries taking back their resources," Butler remarks.
©
Sputnik/ Alexei Druzhinin
The
analyst points to the fact that the Obama administration has long been
aware of Yemen's substantial gas capacity. He quotes Ambassador Stephen
A. Seche's 2008
secret cable,
published by Wikileaks, which reads "that the governorates of Shabwa,
Marib and al-Jawf have high potential for significant gas deposits."
As for oil, according to the detailed 2002 United States Geological
Survey
(USGS), Yemen possesses vast offshore oil reservoirs in addition to its
3 billion barrels of proved oil reserves, the analyst underscores.
That is why neither the Obama administration, nor European
governments are rushing to help the Yemenis being bombed and shelled
by Riyadh: all of them have their own vested interests in the Middle
East.
"So the picture puzzle of Yemen chaos should be complete for you now," Butler concludes.