Zbigniew
Brzezinski's passing has marked the final transformation of the "grand"
geopolitical chess match into a "card game," Vladimir Lepekhin, a
member of Rossiya Segodnya's Zinoviev Club and General Director of the
EurAsEC Institute, noted, adding that it's Donald Trump who is holding the deck now.
To illustrate his point, Lepekhin drew attention to the fact that US
President Trump's first foreign trip went beyond the usual framework
of his predecessors' foreign tours.
"George W. Bush's [first foreign] trip
around Europe was a carefully prepared demonstration of America's global
leadership and was aimed at providing guidance to the vassal countries
for a new global policy (under the leadership of Washington), which the
US began implementing after September 11, 2001," the Russian scholar
wrote.
Similarly, during his first foreign tour former US President Barack
Obama paid a visit to all major European countries delivering the same
message of the US' world leadership.
"The route of Donald Trump during his first
diplomatic and family trip was quite different: Saudi Arabia (meeting
with the leaders of most Arab countries), Israel, the Vatican, Brussels
(mini-summit of NATO) and Sicily (G7 summit)," Lepekhin emphasized.
©
AP Photo/ Pablo Martinez Monsivais
It
still remains shrouded in mystery for both international observers and
US State Department officials why Trump decided to visit Saudi Arabia,
Israel and the Vatican, at the same time paying less attention to major
European capitals, the scholar remarked.
Speaking to Radio Sputnik
ahead of Trump's foreign tour, Russian political scientist Igor Shatrov
suggested that the US president planned to visit "the centers of world
religions."
"Most likely, [the Trump administration] is seeking positive
externalities and PR — [the president is going] to pay tribute to the
centers of world religions," Shatrov suggested, "I believe that in this
case there are some 'marks' which Trump decided to make: the Christian
and the Islamic world are parts of Donald Trump's sphere of interest."
For his part, Lepekhin believes that "Trump's
logic does not fit into traditional geopolitical discourses": the
American president is determined to do no less than to fully reconsider
Washington's foreign strategy.
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REUTERS/ Aleksey Nikolskyi
The emergence of the multipolar world has changed the established status quo.
"One of the key problems of our period is that the international
order with which we were familiar is disintegrating in some respects and
that new elements from Asia and the developing world are entering it,"
as former American diplomat Henry Kissinger
noted at the Davos Economic Forum in January 2017.
According to Lepekhin, the multipolar world differs much from both
the bipolar "grand chessboard" and the global monopoly: "a multipolar
world looks like a card table, with several players sitting at it; each
of them joins different alliances, bluffs and carefully conceals his
cards."
"In such a situation, the only one who has the
advantage is the dealer," the scholar noted, adding that today the
"dealer" holding the whole deck is Donald Trump.
So, why did Trump pay scant attention to his European partners?
The answer is obvious: Trump doesn't see any rationale for negotiating with uncooperative European leaders, the scholar wrote.
"Donald Trump's strategy [envisions
collaboration] with the royal family of Saudi Arabia, the Islamic Ummah
[community], the elites of Israel, Great Britain, China and Russia, and
the Vatican," Lepekhin stressed, assuming that Israel will become
Washington's major ally in the Middle East and therefore, the most
influential player in the region.
©
REUTERS/ Francois Lenoir
But what about NATO? During his visit to the alliance's headquarters in Brussels
Trump chided NATO member-states
for not contributing enough to the military bloc. Does it mean that the
US president wants to rebuild and strengthen the alliance?
Unlikely, Lepekhin believes.
According to the scholar, Trump sees the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization as an alternative to US boots on the ground in the Middle
Eastern and Central Asian war zones. However, if the alliance fails
to efficiently fight against Daesh (ISIS/ISIL), al-Qaeda and Taliban, it
is unlikely that Washington will continue to pour money into this
"monstrous" organization.
"Trump is not going to demonstrate the American
leadership to Europe and to the world. I believe he is not concerned
about the standard foreign policy schemes and utilitarian interests
of the State Department officials and oligarchic corporations; he is
interested in fundamental issues related to the necessity to reformat
the obsolete state of affairs and introduce a new model of the world
order," Lepekhin concluded.