In our current low-level military conflicts, one of the clues intelligence analysts look for is the media psychological operations that precede new attacks. One would think by now someone would have told them to change their tactics, as this one is a dead giveaway.
Step one is always to start building up the target that you are going to attack as a threat. If whoever is in your crosshairs is not a credible threat, then you have to hook them up with “the Russian Bear” in this case, to crank up public support for your aggression to be cast as self-defense.
With Kiev’s elections being over and a new government finalized, which will include commanders and fighters from the current war, there are signs that Ukraine is itching to get back into the fight. So-called non-NATO aid has been flowing into the Ukrainian military from NATO countries, a convenient loophole, and Poland and other countries have been helping to rearm Kiev’s troops.
This military buildup was carried on against the backdrop of continuing charges of Russian units crossing the border, but without any hard proof in this high-tech age, where scores of people shoot photos and video of any movement of military equipment.
Kiev got its gas deal signed with the Russians without having to clear up all the gas debt, and the EU did not even have to guarantee the balance… a conciliatory gesture from Russia and a practical one to begin getting the Ukraine economy going again so Russian banks will not lose the billions loaned out to Ukrainian industries.As non-NATO aid has been flowing into Ukraine’s military from NATO countries, we know the Ukrainian army is being prepped for another attack on the separatists, and with what I suspect will be a much bigger effort using covertly paid Western contractors to try to finish the job.
I am sensing that the West hopes that, with a full-scale attack on the Republics, Russia will be forced to intercede militarily after the West already has - and NATO will finally have the Russian invasion it has wanted to trigger the next stage of boosting NATO forces on Russia’s borders.
The parade of lies has been almost comical if it were not for the suffering of the east Ukrainians, who want to defend themselves from living under the boot of a ruthless Western puppet fascist coup government. Kiev claims armored units have crossed the Russian border without the OSCE monitors at the crossing seeing anything. With all the people who shoot photos and video of military movement, we don’t have a single image… similar to how no one saw a Buk missile go up to hit MH17 when the smoke plume would have been viewable over fifty square miles for five minutes.
NATO’s General Breedlove claims that Russia has “combat capable” troops on the Ukraine border AFTER Ukraine mentioned it had deployed troops there. But someone got their wires crossed at the Pentagon, as spokesman Admiral Kirby tells us that he has not confirmed movement of Russian forces into Ukraine. You just can’t make this stuff up, folks!
Kiev’s shelling of Donetsk has never stopped, and has increased after the election with heavy mortar fire, GRAD rockets and even a ballistic missile fired into the city. We never heard a peep from any of the Western coup supporters that these continued ceasefire violations were going to wreck getting any kind of a peace settlement.What I sense here is they all know there is not going to be a final ceasefire settlement because they have been supporting Kiev’s preparation for a final blitzkrieg to crush the separatists before yearend.
New EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini has called for both sides to stop their ceasefire violations, even though it is clear that the Republic is only engaged in operations to stop Kiev’s violation, because the West has not said or done anything about them in the past, an indication that it did not mind.
Already, we hear the expected rumblings that, while the West will not jerk their junkyard dog chain on Kiev, which it could do with one phone call, the threats of more sanctions against Russia are in the pipeline if it does not handcuff the separatists.
Mind you, we have Kiev bragging that it has been deploying fresh units all around the perimeter of the Republics to cause them to spread out their defensive forces. This is a flagrant offensive move during a ceasefire. What they did not say is they are pre-staging a lot more logistical support for the next attack, lots of ammo and supplies and better medical support, which was just terrible in the past.
On Sunday, we have the OSCE monitors reporting the heavy weapons columns are moving in east Ukraine like that is some kind of big surprise. The inference is that they must have come from Russia, but the Defense Forces have had heavy weapons all through the fight, many captured from Kiev, and which played a key role in defeating the poorly-trained and -motivated Ukrainian army.
The OSCE did confirm that the shelling that killed the two school kids came from a village behind the airport. One of the wounded girls had both legs blown off. The West did make some sympathetic statements, but did not demand that Kiev must stop or lose its Western funding.
But the newly-elected head of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) Alexander Zakharchenko is taking things a bit farther than the West will probably like, claiming that his people know the names of those guilty for the killings.
“We know the names of all the commanders of artillery and mortar batteries, even down to the commanders of the gun crews. We know their names… and their last names… Now we will find out the names of the soldiers. We shall identify everybody, and they will be brought to justice.”
This guy is the real deal, not like the gangsters we seem to like to hook up with now as expendable cannon fodder. The DPR Defense Ministry says it will insist on international prosecution. I can’t wait to hear the West say, “We don’t recognize war crimes against east Ukraine.”
I will close with another Twilight Zone statement from America’s new anchor allies on Russia’s border. Here we have a broke Ukraine who just wasted several billions of money it did not have to waste on the east Ukraine war that could have gone into desperately needed development.
And along comes Parliament Speaker Olexander Turchnov on Sunday to tell us that a key goal of the Rada was to build the world’s strongest military. Gosh, I wonder whose money he plans on using? Might it be the West’s?
JD/HJL