Τρίτη 21 Μαΐου 2019

May, Tuesday 21st., 2019 As Europe Keeps Falling, The Implications For Everyone Else


May, Tuesday 21st., 2019
 
<<"...From boom to a little less boom doesn’t sound so bad, entirely the man’s point. It’s just that it’s not a valid one.
To buy his premise you have to believe Europe was, at some point, booming. Germany’s bond market, importantly, never did. Bill Gross was right about his “short of a lifetime” – if only he had first been right about the effectiveness of QE. Had it actually worked, created an actual boom, Gross’s investment advice would’ve paid off handsomely...."
"...Even at the height of worldwide inflation hysteria, the only tangible results of Draghi’s work, German yields never got much higher than they were at the lowest points in their long history. Draghi kept saying boom, the bund market kept responding, we just don’t see it...">>

My conclusions after reading this excellent article: 
1. Draghi loves Europe
2. Draghi  believes that Germany=Europe
3. Draghi loves Europe so much that his  only, single-minded effort is to help  boom  up  Germany's ( aka Europe's) bond market.
4.Germany, in her great effort to satisfy her own and her dear friend's  gentle, not greedy ambitions, works hard to increase her yields/bonds et al  -though unsuccessfully- but in the meantime, she de-booms, down-booms, crush-nose-on-the-ground-booms  all other European countries , especially some PIGS , but mostly the bullied, harassed, befooled  and  defrauded Greece...
Seemingly, they all fail to realize that it is not the 'harbour' that is crooked/distorted but their uncouth, crude, uncivilized, cruel,  inhuman choices of 'navigating'...
Maria L. Pelekanaki 
 
By constantly choosing the over-optimistic interpretation of everything, Draghi has become the reverse Cassandra...
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  • May 21, 2019 5:00 AM
    Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investments,
    In late March, as global pessimism was renewed in the world’s bond markets, ECB President Mario Draghi appeared as he always does to urge optimism. Yes, Europe’s economy in particular didn’t finish 2018 as he had been expecting. But a soft patch, Draghi said, wouldn’t necessarily “foreshadow [a] serious slump.”
    The question on the minds of bond investors is, how would he know?


    That’s ultimately the problem with botching globally synchronized growth. And he has no one else to blame. In hyping the hell out of 2017, way, way overdone, he and others like him, such as Janet Yellen and Jay Powell, set themselves up for statements such as this one delivered in Washington last month:
    Nevertheless, since the Annual Meetings in October 2018, incoming data have been weak, in particular in the manufacturing and tradable goods sectors, reflecting a slowdown in external demand. This was compounded by some country and sector-specific factors that are turning out to have somewhat longer-lasting effects than previously expected.
    By constantly choosing the over-optimistic interpretation of everything, Draghi has become the reverse Cassandra. In mythology, she was given the divine power to accurately predict the future but cursed by Apollo so that no one would ever believe her ultimately correct prophecies. Mario Draghi can’t predict anything, and yet everyone in the mainstream believes him no matter what.
    Like the US Treasury market, though, Europe’s bond markets were never much convinced. As has become his typical pattern, before admitting to the current weakness throughout the European economy the ECB President will always couch it in the most favorable of terms. “The euro area economy expanded at a slower pace in 2018, following robust growth in the previous year.”.................................................................................................