"...claims by all kinds of 'experts', that
Russia remained nothing more than, in the words of John McCain, a gas
station masquerading as a country...were not only wrong, they were downright dangerous."
Authored by Andrei Martyanov via Unz.com,
We live in the world of models, all kinds of them. Some models are simple, others - very
complex. The main task of those models is to
predict how things, those models describe, will behave depending on the circumstances.
Some of those models work brilliantly, others fail miserably. Worst
models in terms of reliability are those dealing with geopolitics. A
record of dismal failures of Western in general, and American in
particular, geopolitical models to predict anything right is widely
available for everyone to see. Time after time those models and
predictions turned out to be wrong.
In terms of “predicting” anything in regards to Russia, those predictions were not only wrong, they were downright dangerous.
No better demonstration exists of a complete breakdown in the process
of predicting anything than evolution of Russian military and economic
power.
As late as 2016, claims that Russia remained nothing more
than, in the words of John McCain, a gas station masquerading as a
country continued to pour in by all kinds of “experts”, who,
despite a huge collection of facts to the contrary, continued to believe
that these are only Russia’s nuclear forces which keep Russia as some
secondary factor in the international relations. There are even some
Russian experts
who shared this point of view.
Their models and predictions turned out to be wrong. They lacked the most important predictor of them all.
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